New Zealand
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-16.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
1 M. Crocombe €1.0M 32 yrMillwall · Championship21 caps · 18 since 2024 (6.610344827586206rtg)
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12 A. Paulsen €500k 23 yrLechia Gdansk · Ekstraklasa6 caps · 6 since 2024 (6.6rtg)
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22 M. Woud €250k 26 yrAuckland · A-League5 caps
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5 M. Boxall €150k 37 yrMinnesota United FC · Major League Soccer60 caps · 1G · 15 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.7rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 7.03 rtg
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15 N. Pijnaker €175k 26 yrAuckland · A-League52 caps · 4G · 33 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.7rtg)
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26 T. Smith €50k 35 yrBraintree · FA Cup54 caps · 2G · 5 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.3rtg)
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2 T. Payne €350k 31 yrWellington Phoenix · A-League46 caps · 3G · 15 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.332857142857143rtg) | club 0G · 5A · 6.59 rtg
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13 L. Cacace €3.0M 25 yrWrexham · Championship36 caps · 1G · 17 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.4364341085271315rtg)
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4 Tyler Bindon €1.5M 20 yrSheffield Utd · Championship22 caps · 3G · 18 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.6rtg) | club 1G · 6.92 rtg
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16 F. Surman €1.8M 22 yrPortland Timbers · Major League Soccer16 caps · 2G · 15 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.248571428571428rtg)
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3 F. de Vries €600k 31 yrAuckland · A-League17 caps · 1G · 11 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.7rtg) | club 1G · 7A · 7.32 rtg
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11 E. Just €350k 25 yrMotherwell · Premiership42 caps · 9G · 21 since 2024 (8G/0A · 7.699999999999999rtg) | club 7G · 7A · 7.11 rtg
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7 M. Garbett €500k 23 yrPeterborough · League One37 caps · 5G · 16 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.6rtg) | club 3G · 2A · 6.89 rtg
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8 M. Stamenic €3.0M 23 yrSwansea · Championship37 caps · 2G · 17 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.6rtg) | club 3G · 2A · 6.75 rtg
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20 C. McCowatt €2.0M 26 yrSilkeborg · Superliga29 caps · 4G · 12 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.630379746835444rtg) | club 11G · 5A · 7.23 rtg
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6 J. Bell €1.2M 26 yrViking · Eliteserien31 caps · 1G · 12 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.5rtg) | club 3G · 4A · 7.34 rtg
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23 R. Thomas Top minutes €900k 31 yrPEC Zwolle · Eredivisie22 caps · 3G · 5 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.5rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 7.13 rtg
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10 S. Singh €600k 26 yrTSC Backa Topola · Super Liga24 caps · 2G · 15 since 2024 (2G/1A · 5.948554913294797rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.82 rtg
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14 A. Rufer €600k 29 yrWellington Phoenix · A-League22 caps · 15 since 2024 (6.3rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 7.18 rtg
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9 C. Wood Top scorer €8.0M 34 yrNottingham Forest · Premier League85 caps · 45G · 15 since 2024 (11G/2A · 6.9rtg) | club 3G · 6.61 rtg
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17 K. Barbarouses €500k 35 yrWestern Sydney Wanderers · A-League71 caps · 9G · 18 since 2024 (5G/0A · 6.5rtg) | club 4G · 1A · 6.6 rtg
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18 B. Waine €400k 24 yrPort Vale · League One29 caps · 8G · 17 since 2024 (7G/0A · 6.73rtg) | club 3G · 1A · 6.65 rtg
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19 B. Old €600k 23 yrSaint Etienne · Ligue 221 caps · 2G · 19 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.784313725490196rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.65 rtg
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21 J. Randall €900k 23 yrAuckland · A-League9 caps · 1G · 9 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.9rtg) | club 9G · 8A · 7.18 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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24 C. Elliot 26 yrAuckland · 8c
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25 L. Bayliss 23 yrNewcastle Jets
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
3 matches| Date | Match | P(NZL win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | A vs Iran (IRN) | 16.2% | 27.4% | |
| 2026-06-21 | H vs Egypt (EGY) | 17.1% | 30.7% | |
| 2026-06-26 | H vs Belgium (BEL) | 8.5% | 18.4% |
What the squad is worth
Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-League | Australia | 9 | 32.7% | 42 |
| Championship | England | 4 | 15.2% | 55 |
| Major League Soccer | USA | 2 | 12.7% | 50 |
| League One | England | 2 | 6.8% | 45 |
| Premiership | Scotland | 1 | 5.6% | 50 |
| Eliteserien | Norway | 1 | 5.3% | 45 |
| Superliga | Denmark | 1 | 5.2% | 50 |
| Ekstraklasa | Poland | 1 | 4.5% | 48 |
| Eredivisie | Netherlands | 1 | 4.5% | 72 |
| Ligue 2 | France | 1 | 3.9% | 48 |
| Premier League | England | 1 | 1.9% | 100 |
| Super Liga | Serbia | 1 | 1.8% | 45 |
| FA Cup | England | 1 | 0.0% | 100 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-06-16 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -18.2 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
No current injury records in the latest feed.
4 verified outlets for New Zealand (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.