South Africa
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
1 R. Williams €800k 33 yrMamelodi Sundowns · Premier Soccer League62 caps · 16 since 2024 (7.196457765667574rtg)
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22 R. Goss €350k 31 yrSiwelele · Premier Soccer League8 caps · 4 since 2024 (6.7rtg)
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16 S. Chaine €1.6M 29 yrOrlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League4 caps · 4 since 2024 (6.66rtg)
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6 A. Modiba €1.8M 30 yrMamelodi Sundowns · Premier Soccer League48 caps · 3G · 18 since 2024 (3G/2A · 7.1598870056497175rtg) | club 0G · 3A · 6.98 rtg
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20 K. Mudau €1.2M 30 yrMamelodi Sundowns · Premier Soccer League37 caps · 1G · 17 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.832152588555859rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 7.05 rtg
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19 N. Sibisi €1.6M 30 yrOrlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League28 caps · 9 since 2024 (6.0rtg)
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14 M. Mbokazi €3.5M 20 yrOrlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League14 caps · 1G · 11 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.979291553133515rtg)
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21 I. Okon 21 yrHannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga10 caps · 10 since 2024 (6.801907356948229rtg) | club 2G · 6.71 rtg
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2 T. Matuludi €1.2M 26 yrPolokwane City · Premier Soccer League7 caps · 7 since 2024 (6.74rtg) | club 2G · 7.32 rtg
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18 S. Kabini €2.5M 21 yrMolde · Eliteserien6 caps · 5 since 2024 (6.83rtg) | club 0G · 3A · 7.33 rtg
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3 K. Ndamane 21 yrTS Galaxy · Premier Soccer League6 caps · 4 since 2024 (6.6rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 7.12 rtg
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4 T. Mokoena €2.8M 28 yrMamelodi Sundowns · Premier Soccer League57 caps · 11G · 17 since 2024 (4G/0A · 7.057400722021661rtg) | club 4G · 2A · 7.27 rtg
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11 T. Zwane Top scorer 36 yrMamelodi Sundowns · Premier Soccer League47 caps · 14G · 9 since 2024 (2G/1A · 5.2rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.66 rtg
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7 O. Appollis €2.5M 24 yrOrlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League36 caps · 8G · 21 since 2024 (6G/1A · 6.702290076335878rtg) | club 9G · 6A · 7.18 rtg
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13 S. Sithole €600k 26 yrTondela · Primeira Liga31 caps · 1G · 12 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.646186440677966rtg) | club 1G · 6.62 rtg
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23 J. Adams €1.8M 24 yrMamelodi Sundowns · Premier Soccer League26 caps · 2G · 14 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.5103448275862075rtg) | club 1G · 6.92 rtg
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5 T. Mbatha €2.0M 25 yrOrlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League21 caps · 3G · 16 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.542105263157895rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 7.26 rtg
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10 R. Mofokeng €3.0M 21 yrOrlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League17 caps · 1G · 14 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.902941176470589rtg) | club 10G · 8A · 7.53 rtg
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8 T. Moremi €1.4M 25 yrOrlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League14 caps · 1G · 13 since 2024 (1G/2A · 6.9461538461538455rtg) | club 5G · 4A · 6.89 rtg
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9 L. Foster Top minutes €13.0M 25 yrBurnley · Premier League33 caps · 13G · 12 since 2024 (4G/2A · 5.9rtg) | club 3G · 2A · 6.47 rtg
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15 I. Rayners 30 yrMamelodi Sundowns · Premier Soccer League34 caps · 7G · 23 since 2024 (5G/1A · 6.242261904761904rtg) | club 12G · 3A · 6.65 rtg
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99 E. Makgopa €1.4M 25 yrOrlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League31 caps · 6G · 12 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.752336448598131rtg) | club 6G · 4A · 6.71 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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24 O. Makhanya 21 yrPhiladelphia Union · 1c
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26 B. Cross 24 yrKaizer Chiefs · 1c
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12 T. Maseko 22 yrAEL · 12c/2g
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25 K. Sebelebele 23 yrOrlando Pirates · 13c/1g
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
4 matches| Date | Match | P(RSA win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | A vs Mexico (MEX) | 16.5% | 25.3% | |
| 2026-06-18 | A vs Czech Republic (CZE) | 27.6% | 29.5% | |
| 2026-06-24 | H vs South Korea (KOR) | 26.7% | 31.4% | |
| 2026-06-28 | H vs Canada (CAN) | 33.8% | 28.5% |
What the squad is worth
23 of 26 valuedSource: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees. Values marked * are floored estimates where Transfermarkt publishes none.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Soccer League | South-Africa | 20 | 79.3% | 38 |
| Major League Soccer | USA | 1 | 5.6% | 50 |
| 2. Bundesliga | Germany | 1 | 3.9% | 52 |
| Primeira Liga | Portugal | 1 | 3.6% | 70 |
| Eliteserien | Norway | 1 | 3.5% | 45 |
| Premier League | England | 1 | 3.2% | 100 |
| 1. Division | Cyprus | 1 | 0.9% | 38 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -28.7 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
Current injury records in the latest feed: T. Mokoena, T. Zwane, T. Zwane, T. Zwane.
4 verified outlets for South Africa (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.