Mexico
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-07-09.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
13 G. Ochoa €1.0M 40 yrAEL · 1. Division129 caps · 4 since 2024 (6.615789473684211rtg)
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1 J. Rangel €6.5M 25 yrGuadalajara Chivas · Liga MX23 caps · 23 since 2024 (7.0722735674676525rtg)
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12 C. Acevedo 29 yrSantos Laguna · Liga MX7 caps · 1 since 2024 (7.5rtg)
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23 J. Gallardo €2.8M 31 yrToluca · Liga MX125 caps · 2G · 27 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.708913043478261rtg) | club 5G · 5A · 6.94 rtg
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4 E. Álvarez €22.0M 28 yrFenerbahçe · Süper Lig97 caps · 7G · 22 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.985714285714286rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.9 rtg
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3 C. Montes €7.0M 28 yrLokomotiv · Premier League72 caps · 4G · 24 since 2024 (3G/0A · 7.173913043478261rtg) | club 4G · 7.25 rtg
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2 J. Sánchez €250k* 28 yrCruz Azul · Liga MX62 caps · 3G · 22 since 2024 (2G/2A · 6.7610478359908885rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.56 rtg
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5 J. Vásquez Top minutes €10.0M 27 yrGenoa · Serie A48 caps · 2G · 25 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.234451901565996rtg) | club 1G · 6.8 rtg
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15 I. Reyes €6.5M 25 yrClub America · Liga MX39 caps · 2G · 25 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.324137931034483rtg) | club 0G · 2A · 7.07 rtg
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20 M. Chávez €4.0M 21 yrAZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie12 caps · 1G · 12 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.30655737704918rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.88 rtg
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17 O. Pineda €7.0M 29 yrAEK Athens FC · Super League 190 caps · 11G · 25 since 2024 (2G/2A · 6.472972972972973rtg) | club 5G · 2A · 7.33 rtg
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7 L. Romo €3.0M 30 yrGuadalajara Chivas · Liga MX68 caps · 5G · 24 since 2024 (2G/5A · 7.1061881188118825rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 7.06 rtg
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24 L. Chávez 29 yrDynamo · Premier League47 caps · 4G · 17 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.814285714285715rtg)
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16 J. Quiñones €14.0M 28 yrAl-Qadisiyah FC · Pro League27 caps · 5G · 24 since 2024 (4G/2A · 7.63063063063063rtg) | club 33G · 4A · 7.63 rtg
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6 É. Lira €12.0M 25 yrCruz Azul · Liga MX32 caps · 28 since 2024 (0G/1A · 7.0845652173913045rtg)
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21 C. Huerta 25 yrAnderlecht · Jupiler Pro League26 caps · 3G · 19 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.389655172413794rtg) | club 1G · 6.54 rtg
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26 B. Gutiérrez 22 yrChicago Fire · Major League Soccer11 caps · 3G · 11 since 2024 (3G/0A · 7.203900709219858rtg) | club 10G · 3A · 7.28 rtg
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19 G. Mora €10.0M 17 yrClub Tijuana · Liga MX13 caps · 13 since 2024 (0G/1A · 6.664827586206895rtg) | club 6G · 1A · 7.15 rtg
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9 R. Jiménez Top scorer €4.0M 34 yrFulham · Premier League126 caps · 46G · 19 since 2024 (12G/2A · 7.2570570570570565rtg) | club 9G · 3A · 6.68 rtg
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25 R. Alvarado €7.5M 27 yrGuadalajara Chivas · Liga MX67 caps · 4G · 26 since 2024 (4G/5A · 7.321626984126984rtg) | club 4G · 5A · 7.17 rtg
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10 A. Vega €8.0M 28 yrToluca · Liga MX51 caps · 6G · 23 since 2024 (6G/5A · 6.728030303030303rtg) | club 4G · 11A · 7.57 rtg
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11 S. Giménez 24 yrAC Milan · Serie A47 caps · 4G · 24 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.5588235294117645rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.49 rtg
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22 G. Martínez 30 yrU.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX15 caps · 4G · 14 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.602857142857143rtg) | club 9G · 6.89 rtg
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14 A. González €15.0M 22 yrGuadalajara Chivas · Liga MX9 caps · 1G · 9 since 2024 (1G/1A · 6.452542372881355rtg) | club 24G · 2A · 6.93 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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18 O. Vargas 20 yrSeattle Sounders · 10c
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8 Álvaro Fidalgo 28 yrClub America · 7c/1g
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
3 matches| Date | Match | P(MEX win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | H vs South Africa (RSA) | 58.2% | 25.3% | |
| 2026-06-18 | H vs South Korea (KOR) | 50.6% | 26.7% | |
| 2026-06-24 | H vs Czech Republic (CZE) | 52.4% | 24.8% |
What the squad is worth
Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | Mexico | 13 | 57.5% | 50 |
| Major League Soccer | USA | 2 | 9.5% | 50 |
| Serie A | Italy | 2 | 8.1% | 88 |
| Pro League | Saudi-Arabia | 1 | 5.4% | 60 |
| Super League 1 | Greece | 1 | 4.9% | 55 |
| Premier League | Russia | 2 | 4.7% | 55 |
| Premier League | England | 1 | 4.4% | 100 |
| Eredivisie | Netherlands | 1 | 1.7% | 72 |
| Süper Lig | Turkey | 1 | 1.5% | 60 |
| 1. Division | Cyprus | 1 | 1.4% | 38 |
| Jupiler Pro League | Belgium | 1 | 1.1% | 65 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-07-09 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -21.1 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
No current injury records in the latest feed.
4 verified outlets for Mexico (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.