← Group C

Group C · HAI · outside top-16

Haiti

Strength

65.9

± 1.8

Attack

67.2

0–100

Defense

65.1

0–100

P(champion)

0.0%

0.0% reach final

Strength trajectory

65.3 → 65.7 · +0.4

2023-03-31 range 64.8–66.1 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31

Model and markets

Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗

Our model

0.0%

to lift

Polymarket

0.1%

implied · -0.1pp

Kalshi

0.1%

implied · -0.1pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-16.

Tournament path (model baseline)

Group 1st

0.4%

R16

1.7%

Quarter

0.2%

Semi

0.0%

Final

0.0%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data

Home venue

Stade Sylvio Cator

Port-au-Prince · 15,000 seats (WC avg 55,865; -40,865)

Age profile

mean 26.6 / WC 27.0

Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).

GK Goalkeepers · 3

1 J. Placide €250k 38 yr

Bastia · Ligue 2

73 caps · 13 since 2024 (6.9rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.83 rtg
12 A. Pierre €100k 24 yr

Sochaux · National 1

9 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.87rtg)
23 J. Duverger 23 yr

—

7 caps · 1 since 2024 (6.3rtg)

DEF Defenders · 9

4 Ricardo Ade 35 yr

LDU de Quito · Liga Pro

65 caps · 2G · 30 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.0rtg) | club 1G · 7.09 rtg
2 C. Arcus Top minutes 29 yr

Angers · Ligue 1

52 caps · 1G · 18 since 2024 (1G/2A · 6.2rtg) | club 0G · 3A · 6.71 rtg
8 M. Expérience 26 yr

Nancy · Ligue 2

20 caps · 15 since 2024 (0G/2A · 7.0rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.75 rtg
13 D. Lacroix 32 yr

Colorado Springs · USL Championship

11 caps · 2G · 11 since 2024 (2G/1A · 7.32rtg)
22 J. Duverne €3.5M 28 yr

Gent · Jupiler Pro League

13 caps · 1G · 13 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.8rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.65 rtg
5 H. Delcroix €4.0M 26 yr

FC Lugano · Super League

4 caps · 4 since 2024 (6.9rtg) | club 1G · 7.07 rtg
24 W. Paugain €800k 24 yr

Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League

3 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.79rtg) | club 1G · 6.82 rtg
3 K. Thermoncy 20 yr

BSC Young Boys · Super League

1 cap

+ 1 more in the broader pool

MID Midfielders · 7

11 L. Deedson €1.2M 24 yr

FC Dallas · Major League Soccer

57 caps · 18G · 50 since 2024 (16G/4A · 6.5rtg)
17 D. Jean-Jacques €2.0M 25 yr

Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer

59 caps · 5G · 52 since 2024 (4G/4A · 7.2rtg) | club 3G · 2A · 6.95 rtg
15 R. Providence €300k 24 yr

Almere City FC · Eerste Divisie

31 caps · 8G · 31 since 2024 (8G/3A · 6.9rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.47 rtg
10 J. Bellegarde €15.0M 27 yr

Wolves · Premier League

7 caps · 7 since 2024 (0G/1A · 7.2rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.78 rtg
25 D. Simon 25 yr

Tatran Prešov · Super Liga
6 C. F. Sainte 23 yr

—
26 W. Pierre 21 yr

Real du Cap · Ligue Haïtienne

ATT Attackers · 7

9 D. Nazon Top scorer €1.6M 31 yr

Esteghlal FC · Persian Gulf Pro League

78 caps · 47G · 20 since 2024 (12G/4A · 7.52rtg) | club 0G · 1A
20 F. Pierrot €3.0M 30 yr

AEK Athens FC · Super League 1

65 caps · 35G · 36 since 2024 (14G/1A · 6.9rtg) | club 2G · 1A · 6.59 rtg
7 D. Etienne €800k 29 yr

Toronto FC · Major League Soccer

43 caps · 7G · 3 since 2024 (7G/0A · 6.7rtg) | club 0G · 3A · 6.72 rtg
21 J. Casimir €3.5M 24 yr

Auxerre · Ligue 1

5 caps · 5 since 2024 (0G/1A · 6.6rtg) | club 1G · 6.61 rtg
19 Y. Fortuné 26 yr

Vizela · Segunda Liga

3 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.700000000000001rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.53 rtg
18 W. Isidor €18.0M 25 yr

Sunderland · Premier League

| club 6G · 6.65 rtg
16 L. Joseph €100k 25 yr

Ferencvarosi TC · NB I

| club 7G · 1A · 6.96 rtg

Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾

DEF · additional

14 G. Métusala 27 yr

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6

L 0–1 v SCO

L 1–2 vs Peru

W 4–0 vs NZL

D 1–1 v Iceland

L 0–1 v TUN

W 2–0 v Nicaragua

Group fixtures

3 matches

Date	Match	P(HAI win)	P(draw)
2026-06-13	H vs Scotland (SCO)	15.6%	22.0%
2026-06-19	A vs Brazil (BRA)	3.8%	10.2%
2026-06-24	A vs Morocco (MAR)	8.0%	19.2%

What the squad is worth

16 of 25 valued

Squad market value

€54.2M

Rank in the field

35 / 48

Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees. Values marked * are floored estimates where Transfermarkt publishes none.

Where the squad plays

20 of 26 with on-pitch minutes

Weighted strength

59.7/100

vs model strength -6.2

Top-5 leagues

26%

Unrated leagues

League	Country	Players	Minutes share	Strength
Major League Soccer	USA	3	15.5%	50
Ligue 1	France	2	15.3%	80
Ligue 2	France	2	14.5%	48
Liga Pro	Ecuador	1	11.2%	45
Jupiler Pro League	Belgium	2	10.6%	65
Premier League	England	2	10.4%	100
Super League	Switzerland	1	4.9%	55
Eerste Divisie	Netherlands	1	4.4%	45
NB I	Hungary	1	3.8%	42
USL Championship	USA	1	2.8%	40
Super Liga	Slovakia	1	2.5%	40
Super League 1	Greece	1	2.3%	55
Segunda Liga	Portugal	2	1.8%	45

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-06-16 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs -6.2 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

No current injury records in the latest feed.

Sources

5 verified outlets for Haiti (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.

🇭🇹Haiti

Squad

Recent form

Group fixtures

What the squad is worth

Where the squad plays

What the model can't see

Haiti