Ecuador
Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-16.
Squad
26 players · prior-season club data-
1 H. Galíndez €250k* 38 yrHuracan · Copa Argentina35 caps · 19 since 2024 (7.0rtg)
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12 M. Ramírez €250k* 25 yrKifisia · Super League 17 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.95rtg)
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22 G. Valle 29 yrLDU de Quito · Liga Pro3 caps · 3 since 2024 (7.28rtg)
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7 P. Estupiñán €14.0M 27 yrAC Milan · Serie A53 caps · 4G · 18 since 2024 (4G/0A · 6.93rtg) | club 1G · 1A · 6.72 rtg
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21 A. Franco €4.5M 27 yrAtletico-MG · Serie A58 caps · 1G · 28 since 2024 (1G/2A · 7.2rtg) | club 1G · 6.9 rtg
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2 F. Torres 28 yrCorinthians · Serie A48 caps · 5G · 24 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.96rtg)
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17 A. Preciado €5.0M 27 yrSparta Praha · Czech Liga58 caps · 27 since 2024 (6.508219178082192rtg) | club 0G · 1A · 6.89 rtg
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6 W. Pacho €70.0M 24 yrParis Saint Germain · Ligue 135 caps · 2G · 32 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.3rtg)
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4 J. Ordoñez €6.0M 21 yrClub Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League17 caps · 17 since 2024 (6.9rtg) | club 3G · 6.96 rtg
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25 J. Porozo €3.3M 25 yrClub Tijuana · Liga MX11 caps · 2G · 4 since 2024 (2G/0A · 7.34406779661017rtg) | club 2G · 6.97 rtg
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23 M. Caicedo Top minutes €110.0M 24 yrChelsea · Premier League61 caps · 3G · 29 since 2024 (3G/4A · 6.9rtg) | club 3G · 1A · 7.17 rtg
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3 P. Hincapié €50.0M 23 yrArsenal · Premier League52 caps · 3G · 25 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.5rtg) | club 1G · 2A · 6.92 rtg
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14 A. Minda €3.0M 22 yrCercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League20 caps · 2G · 20 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.3rtg) | club 3G · 2A · 6.85 rtg
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15 P. Vite €6.0M 23 yrU.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX17 caps · 1G · 16 since 2024 (1G/2A · 7.5rtg) | club 3G · 1A · 6.9 rtg
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5 J. Alcívar €2.0M 26 yrIndependiente del Valle · Liga Pro10 caps · 1G · 8 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.84rtg) | club 2G · 2A · 7.04 rtg
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18 D. Castillo €5.5M 21 yrFC Midtjylland · Superliga5 caps · 5 since 2024 (6.91rtg) | club 4G · 4A · 6.87 rtg
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26 Y. Medina €4.0M 21 yrGenk · Jupiler Pro League5 caps · 5 since 2024 (6.54rtg) | club 0G · 3A · 6.73 rtg
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13 E. Valencia Top scorer €3.8M 36 yrCF Pachuca · Liga MX117 caps · 50G · 26 since 2024 (8G/2A · 6.6rtg) | club 8G · 1A · 6.85 rtg
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19 G. Plata €5.0M 25 yrFlamengo · Serie A50 caps · 8G · 16 since 2024 (3G/3A · 6.6rtg) | club 4G · 1A · 6.89 rtg
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11 K. Rodríguez €5.0M 25 yrUnion St. Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League33 caps · 1G · 28 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.277586206896552rtg) | club 10G · 2A · 6.71 rtg
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9 J. Yeboah €1.5M 25 yrVenezia · Serie B25 caps · 3G · 25 since 2024 (3G/6A · 7.309523809523809rtg) | club 10G · 9A · 7.31 rtg
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10 K. Páez €8.0M 18 yrStrasbourg · Ligue 125 caps · 2G · 25 since 2024 (2G/2A · 6.89rtg) | club 1G · 6.5 rtg
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16 J. Caicedo €3.5M 28 yrSporting Gijon · Segunda División18 caps · 3G · 8 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.51rtg)
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20 N. Angulo €7.0M 22 yrAnderlecht · Jupiler Pro League14 caps · 1G · 11 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.304081632653061rtg) | club 6G · 5A · 7.26 rtg
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8 A. Valencia €1.0M 22 yrAntwerp · Jupiler Pro League2 caps · 1G · 2 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.1rtg) | club 4G · 2A · 6.94 rtg
Show full senior pool · 26 players ▾
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24 Jeremy Arévalo 20 yrRacing Santander · 3c
Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from
media.api-sports.io.
Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle).
Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.
Recent form
last 6Group fixtures
3 matches| Date | Match | P(ECU win) | P(draw) | Shape |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | A vs Ivory Coast (CIV) | 40.1% | 33.8% | |
| 2026-06-20 | H vs Curaçao (CUW) | 74.3% | 18.2% | |
| 2026-06-25 | H vs Germany (GER) | 26.9% | 27.5% |
What the squad is worth
25 of 26 valuedSource: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees. Values marked * are floored estimates where Transfermarkt publishes none.
Where the squad plays
26 of 26 with on-pitch minutes| League | Country | Players | Minutes share | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jupiler Pro League | Belgium | 6 | 22.5% | 65 |
| Liga MX | Mexico | 3 | 16.3% | 50 |
| Serie A | Brazil | 3 | 10.4% | 70 |
| Premier League | England | 2 | 10.1% | 100 |
| Copa Argentina | Argentina | 1 | 7.5% | 62 |
| Liga Pro | Ecuador | 2 | 6.1% | 45 |
| Serie B | Italy | 1 | 5.8% | 50 |
| Super League 1 | Greece | 1 | 5.5% | 55 |
| Ligue 1 | France | 2 | 5.2% | 80 |
| Superliga | Denmark | 1 | 3.8% | 50 |
| Serie A | Italy | 1 | 2.3% | 88 |
| Segunda División | Spain | 2 | 2.3% | 50 |
| Czech Liga | Czech-Republic | 1 | 2.1% | 48 |
Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.
What the model can't see
The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.
As of 2026-06-16 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.
Squad club-strength runs -16.1 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.
No current injury records in the latest feed.
4 verified outlets for Ecuador (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.