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← Group E
Group E · CUW · outside top-16

Curaçao

Strength
62.6
± 2.3
Attack
62.7
0–100
Defense
63.3
0–100
P(champion)
0.0%
0.0% reach final
Strength trajectory
60.8 → 63.5 · +2.7
2023-03-31 range 60.6–64.6 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31
Model and markets
Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗
Our model
0.0%
to lift
Polymarket
0.1%
implied · -0.1pp
Kalshi
0.1%
implied · -0.1pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-16.

Tournament path (model baseline)
Group 1st
0.5%
R16
1.6%
Quarter
0.2%
Semi
0.0%
Final
0.0%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data
Home venue
Ergilio Hato Stadium
Willemstad · 10,000 seats (WC avg 55,865; -45,865)
Age profile
mean 27.1 / WC 27.0
U-22 22–25 26–29 30–33 34+
Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).
GK Goalkeepers · 3
  • 1 E. Room €200k 36 yr
    Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
    59 caps · 19 since 2024 (6.45rtg)
  • 26 T. Doornbusch €100k 26 yr
    VVV Venlo · KNVB Beker
    6 caps
  • 25 T. Bodak €25k 23 yr
    Telstar · KNVB Beker
    4 caps
DEF Defenders · 8
  • 3 J. Gaari €450k 32 yr
    —
    53 caps · 1G · 20 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.94rtg)
  • 5 S. Floranus Top minutes €800k 27 yr
    PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie
    27 caps · 21 since 2024 (0G/1A · 5.75rtg)  |  club 1G · 3A · 6.38 rtg
  • 20 J. Brenet €3.5M 31 yr
    Livingston · Premiership
    24 caps · 1G · 24 since 2024 (1G/4A · 7.09rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.59 rtg
  • 4 R. van Eijma €375k 27 yr
    Waalwijk · Eerste Divisie
    22 caps · 1G · 13 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.04rtg)
  • 18 A. Obispo 26 yr
    PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
    7 caps · 7 since 2024 (0G/2A · 5.9rtg)  |  club 2G · 6.84 rtg
  • 2 S. Sambo €2.0M 24 yr
    Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie
    6 caps · 6 since 2024 (7.42rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.63 rtg
  • 23 R. Bazoer €2.8M 29 yr
    Konyaspor · Süper Lig
    5 caps · 5 since 2024 (5.7rtg)
  • 24 Deveron Fonville €1.5M 22 yr
    NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
    3 caps · 3 since 2024 (5.45rtg)  |  club 0G · 2A · 6.85 rtg
MID Midfielders · 8
  • 10 L. Bacuna Top scorer €900k 34 yr
    Bandırmaspor · 1. Lig
    60 caps · 12G · 18 since 2024 (2G/4A · 6.5rtg)  |  club 6G · 2A · 7.1 rtg
  • 7 J. Bacuna €4.5M 28 yr
    FC Volendam · Eredivisie
    47 caps · 12G · 23 since 2024 (8G/4A · 6.73841059602649rtg)  |  club 0G · 2A · 7.01 rtg
  • 8 L. Comenencia €800k 21 yr
    FC Zurich · Super League
    50 caps · 3G · 50 since 2024 (3G/2A · 6.836423841059602rtg)
  • 6 G. Roemeratoe €400k 26 yr
    Waalwijk · Eerste Divisie
    22 caps · 1G · 13 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.49rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.74 rtg
  • 22 K. Felida €350k 26 yr
    Den Bosch · Eerste Divisie
    17 caps · 1G · 4 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.96rtg)  |  club 4G · 3A · 7.3 rtg
  • 21 T. Chong 26 yr
    Sheffield Utd · Championship
    5 caps · 4G · 5 since 2024 (4G/1A · 6.820231213872833rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.66 rtg
  • 15 A. Martha €1.2M 22 yr
    Rotherham · League One
    7 caps · 1G · 7 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.57rtg)  |  club 1G · 2A · 6.58 rtg
  • 13 T. Noslin €750k 23 yr
    Telstar · Eredivisie
    4 caps · 1G · 4 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.9rtg)  |  club 2G · 3A · 6.81 rtg
ATT Attackers · 7
  • 11 J. Antonisse €800k 23 yr
    Kifisia · Super League 1
    46 caps · 2G · 38 since 2024 (1G/2A · 7.056756756756758rtg)  |  club 1G · 2A · 6.8 rtg
  • 14 K. Gorré €800k 31 yr
    Maccabi Haifa · Ligat Ha'al
    35 caps · 6G · 15 since 2024 (3G/5A · 7.38rtg)  |  club 3G · 4A · 6.87 rtg
  • 19 G. Kastaneer €200k 29 yr
    —
    24 caps · 9G · 14 since 2024 (8G/1A · 6.432758620689656rtg)
  • 17 B. Kuwas €450k 33 yr
    FC Volendam · Eredivisie
    29 caps · 3G · 6 since 2024 (3G/0A · 6.55rtg)  |  club 5G · 4A · 6.73 rtg
  • 16 J. Margaritha 25 yr
    Phoenix Rising · US Open Cup
    20 caps · 5G · 18 since 2024 (5G/6A · 6.5rtg)  |  club 11G · 6A · 6.981481 rtg
  • 9 J. Locadia 32 yr
    —
    15 caps · 1G · 13 since 2024 (1G/2A · 5.972815533980583rtg)
  • 12 S. Hansen €3.0M 23 yr
    Middlesbrough · Championship
    4 caps · 1G · 4 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.7rtg)  |  club 1G · 6.55 rtg

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6
L 1–7 v GER
W 4–0 vs Aruba
L 1–4 @ SCO
L 1–5 @ AUS
L 0–2 v China PR
D 0–0 @ Jamaica

Group fixtures

3 matches
Date Match P(CUW win) P(draw) Shape
2026-06-14 A vs Germany (GER) 3.5% 8.3%
2026-06-20 A vs Ecuador (ECU) 6.9% 18.2%
2026-06-25 H vs Ivory Coast (CIV) 10.0% 20.4%

What the squad is worth

22 of 25 valued
Squad market value
€25.9M
Rank in the field
44 / 48

Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees. Values marked * are floored estimates where Transfermarkt publishes none.

Where the squad plays

21 of 26 with on-pitch minutes
Weighted strength
56.6/100
vs model strength -6.0
Top-5 leagues
0%
Unrated leagues
0%
League Country Players Minutes share Strength
Eredivisie Netherlands 7 35.6% 72
Eerste Divisie Netherlands 3 22.0% 45
League One England 1 7.8% 45
US Open Cup USA 1 6.1% 50
Super League 1 Greece 1 6.1% 55
1. Lig Turkey 1 5.1% 38
Super League Switzerland 1 4.6% 55
Championship England 2 3.7% 55
Ligat Ha'al Israel 1 3.4% 45
Süper Lig Turkey 1 2.8% 60
Premiership Scotland 1 2.7% 50
KNVB Beker Netherlands 1 0.2% 72

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-06-16 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs -6.0 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

Current injury records in the latest feed: Kenji Gorre, Tommy St Jago.

Sources

4 verified outlets for Curaçao (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.