Agent Lab — a live forecast exhibit · Applied AI
← Group E
Group E · CIV · outside top-16

Ivory Coast

Strength
76.6
± 1.8
Attack
74.2
0–100
Defense
77.9
0–100
P(champion)
0.41%
1.2% reach final
Strength trajectory
75.9 → 76.0 · +0.1
2023-03-31 range 75.2–76.0 · 13 quarters 2026-03-31
Model and markets
Polymarket ↗ · Kalshi ↗
Our model
0.41%
to lift
Polymarket
0.5%
implied · -0.1pp
Kalshi
0.5%
implied · -0.1pp

Implied is de-vigged per venue (proportional normalization). Δ is the model minus that venue; when they disagree by more than ~2pp the direction is more interesting than either number alone. Snapshot 2026-06-16.

Tournament path (model baseline)
Group 1st
12.5%
R16
32.5%
Quarter
11.3%
Semi
3.8%
Final
1.2%

Squad

26 players · prior-season club data
Home venue
Alassane Ouattara Stadium
Abidjan · 60,012 seats (WC avg 55,865; +4,147)
Age profile
mean 24.9 / WC 27.0
U-22 22–25 26–29 30–33 34+
Solid bars: this squad. Shaded behind: WC2026 average (1248 players).
GK Goalkeepers · 3
  • 1 Y. Fofana €2.5M 25 yr
    Rizespor · Süper Lig
    32 caps · 15 since 2024 (6.8rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.78 rtg
  • 23 A. Lafont €3.0M 26 yr
    Panathinaikos · Super League 1
    2 caps · 2 since 2024 (6.4rtg)
  • 16 M. Koné €800k 23 yr
    Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League
DEF Defenders · 8
  • 3 G. Konan €6.5M 30 yr
    GIL Vicente · Primeira Liga
    47 caps · 13 since 2024 (0G/1A · 6.869620253164557rtg)
  • 7 O. Kossounou €22.0M 24 yr
    Atalanta · Serie A
    35 caps · 12 since 2024 (6.6rtg)  |  club 1G · 6.65 rtg
  • 21 E. Ndicka Top minutes €30.0M 26 yr
    AS Roma · Serie A
    33 caps · 19 since 2024 (0G/2A · 6.87rtg)  |  club 3G · 6.97 rtg
  • 5 W. Singo €28.0M 25 yr
    Galatasaray · Süper Lig
    31 caps · 1G · 11 since 2024 (1G/1A · 7.281818181818182rtg)  |  club 2G · 1A · 6.88 rtg
  • 17 G. Doué €18.0M 23 yr
    Strasbourg · Ligue 1
    18 caps · 3G · 17 since 2024 (3G/1A · 8.002793296089385rtg)  |  club 2G · 6A · 6.92 rtg
  • 2 O. Diomande €45.0M 22 yr
    Sporting CP · Primeira Liga
    22 caps · 1G · 16 since 2024 (1G/0A · 6.73rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 7.06 rtg
  • 20 E. Agbadou €9.0M 28 yr
    Wolves · Premier League
    22 caps · 1G · 14 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.15rtg)
  • 13 C. Operi 28 yr
    Başakşehir · Süper Lig
    7 caps · 6 since 2024 (0G/2A · 7.34rtg)  |  club 0G · 4A · 6.97 rtg
MID Midfielders · 8
  • 8 F. Kessié Top scorer €20.0M 29 yr
    Al-Ahli Jeddah · Pro League
    81 caps · 13G · 19 since 2024 (3G/1A · 6.769620253164557rtg)  |  club 5G · 3A · 7.0 rtg
  • 4 J. Seri €1.5M 34 yr
    Maribor · 1. SNL
    67 caps · 5G · 12 since 2024 (5G/0A · 7.03rtg)
  • 18 I. Sangaré €22.0M 28 yr
    Nottingham Forest · Premier League
    49 caps · 10G · 10 since 2024 (10G/0A · 6.772222222222222rtg)  |  club 2G · 2A · 6.97 rtg
  • 6 S. Fofana €8.0M 30 yr
    Rennes · Ligue 1
    34 caps · 9G · 15 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.806206896551725rtg)  |  club 1G · 6.85 rtg
  • 14 O. Diakité €5.0M 22 yr
    Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
    30 caps · 5G · 17 since 2024 (4G/1A · 6.87rtg)  |  club 7G · 6.6 rtg
  • 26 C. Inao Oulai €23.0M 19 yr
    Trabzonspor · Süper Lig
    10 caps · 10 since 2024 (7.2628571428571425rtg)  |  club 2G · 4A · 7.06 rtg
  • 11 Y. Diomande €45.0M 19 yr
    RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
    7 caps · 1G · 7 since 2024 (1G/0A · 7.531847133757962rtg)  |  club 12G · 8A · 7.72 rtg
  • 25 P. Guiagon €4.0M 24 yr
    Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League
    4 caps · 4 since 2024 (0G/1A · 7.36rtg)  |  club 9G · 5A · 7.07 rtg
ATT Attackers · 7
  • 19 N. Pépé €8.5M 30 yr
    Villarreal · La Liga
    53 caps · 12G · 9 since 2024 (2G/1A · 6.7106557377049185rtg)  |  club 8G · 8A · 7.25 rtg
  • 10 S. Adingra €22.0M 23 yr
    Monaco · Ligue 1
    23 caps · 4G · 9 since 2024 (2G/1A · 7.47rtg)  |  club 3G · 2A · 6.71 rtg
  • 15 A. Diallo €50.0M 23 yr
    Manchester United · Premier League
    15 caps · 6G · 11 since 2024 (5G/2A · 7.844303797468355rtg)  |  club 2G · 3A · 6.89 rtg
  • 22 E. Guessand €28.0M 24 yr
    Aston Villa · Premier League
    17 caps · 3G · 14 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.68rtg)  |  club 0G · 1A · 6.41 rtg
  • 24 B. Touré €25.0M 19 yr
    1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga
    6 caps · 2G · 6 since 2024 (2G/0A · 6.558227848101266rtg)  |  club 5G · 9A · 6.9 rtg
  • 12 E. Wahi €12.0M 22 yr
    Nice · Ligue 1
    3 caps · 3 since 2024 (6.363414634146342rtg)  |  club 7G · 1A · 6.81 rtg
  • 9 A. Bonny €35.0M 22 yr
    Inter · Serie A
     |  club 5G · 4A · 6.76 rtg

Source: API-Football squad & player endpoints; portraits cached from media.api-sports.io. Caps & international goals from the 2024 senior cycle (2024-25 UEFA cycle). Roster reflects the broader senior pool — final WC2026 26-player squads arrive ~2026-06-02.

Recent form

last 6
W 1–0 v ECU
W 2–1 @ FRA
W 1–0 v SCO
W 4–0 v KOR
L 2–3 v EGY
W 3–0 v Burkina Faso

Group fixtures

3 matches
Date Match P(CIV win) P(draw) Shape
2026-06-14 H vs Ecuador (ECU) 26.0% 33.8%
2026-06-20 A vs Germany (GER) 20.3% 23.9%
2026-06-25 A vs Curaçao (CUW) 69.2% 20.4%

What the squad is worth

Squad market value
€481.8M
Rank in the field
9 / 48

Source: Transfermarkt estimated market values, as of 2026-06-15. A market read on squad talent — complementary to the results-based model rating, which knows nothing about transfer fees.

Where the squad plays

25 of 26 with on-pitch minutes
Weighted strength
77.4/100
vs model strength +0.8
Top-5 leagues
52%
Unrated leagues
0%
League Country Players Minutes share Strength
Süper Lig Turkey 4 16.7% 60
Premier League England 4 14.0% 100
Jupiler Pro League Belgium 3 13.0% 65
Serie A Italy 3 11.1% 88
Bundesliga Germany 2 11.0% 90
Ligue 1 France 4 10.6% 80
Primeira Liga Portugal 2 9.0% 70
La Liga Spain 1 5.5% 95
Pro League Saudi-Arabia 1 4.8% 60
Super League 1 Greece 1 4.4% 55

Source: API-Football squad & player-statistics endpoints, prior season. League strength is a curated 0–100 scale anchored at Premier League = 100; leagues marked unrated fall back to a low default and surface as a punch-list to extend the table.

Context

What the model can't see

The model reads past results only. Squad, club form, and availability are shown here alongside its numbers — sourced and dated. They do not move the forecast.

Squad snapshot

As of 2026-06-16 · 26 players in the latest club-form pull.

Squad club-strength runs +0.8 versus the model's rating — context for where results and squad quality diverge.

Availability

No current injury records in the latest feed.

Sources

4 verified outlets for Ivory Coast (federation, native-language, English fallback). Any context cited here comes only from these.